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- The Dow Jones at one point lost more than 1,000 points before ending up just over 100.
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- While the probability of a recession is rising, perhaps the silver lining here is that, in our view, we don’t yet see the scope for a deep or prolonged downturn.
The Dow Jones at one point lost more than 1,000 points before ending up just over 100. Tuesday was more of the same with the Dow losing 800 points only to gain most of it back. Some may see this drop in yields as also signaling moderating inflation ahead. In our view, we would need to see inflation move consistently lower for several readings, on both headline and core inflation, before markets might price in a moderating inflation trend.
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But it was during a trip to Myanmar in 2014 that really got her interested in the everyday practices of Buddhism and the interactions between Buddhism and politics in Myanmar society. Deng is studying the circulation, transportation and trade of marble from Myanmar used to create Buddhist images. She focuses on the trade from Myanmar to China from the 1890s to the present day. It’s one thing to study the materials used in religious or ritual practices, but it’s another thing to study the material that makes up those items. That’s exactly what Arizona State University religious studies PhD candidate Beiyin Deng is researching for her dissertation.
Historical and current end-of-day data provided by FACTSET. Real-time last sale data for U.S. stock quotes reflect trades reported through Nasdaq only. Intraday data delayed at least 15 minutes or per exchange requirements. TWLO stock price today China’s Shanghai Composite Index decreased 0.3%, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index declined 0.4%, India’s S&P BSE Sensex 30 Index dipped 0.2%, and South Korea’s Kospi Index traded 1.2% to the downside.
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Historically, periods of elevated inflation would negatively impact the dollar, eroding its purchasing power. However, as markets around the globe battle inflationary pressures, and concerns about slowing growth rise, we continue to see the U.S. dollar act as a safe-haven asset for global investors. We would expect the dollar to remain elevated in the near term, especially as the Federal Reserve continues its aggressive tightening policy. In bond markets, while yields had moved dramatically higher Forex for much of this year – driven by sharply rising inflation and Fed-tightening expectations – more recently we have seen yields move lower. Treasury yield, for example, reached a high of nearly 3.5% in early June but ended the month around 3.0%1. This move lower in yields is likely driven by concerns around future economic growth, and perhaps also by a flight-to-safety response by investors. Equity markets have been perhaps the loudest in signaling a pending downturn among financial markets.
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